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大刊Playlist分析了女主战局
对每位选手的点评都很到位
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Karla Sofia Gascon, “Emilia Perez”
Whatever policy changes the next administration announces over the next month and a half will only help her cause. Horrifying, but true.

Mikey Madison, “Anora”
The only lock. Whether she’s the frontrunner to win is another matter entirely.

Marianne Jean-Baptiste, “Hard Truths”
In theory, should be a given. Members still have to watch the movie though. The fact it’s directed by Mike Leigh isn’t an enticing prospect for some (spoiler: it’s one of his best and made my Top 10 list so maybe make sure you see it).

Angelina Jolie, “Maria”
She’s working it, she’s campaigning. She’s still borderline because the movie isn’t wow-ing enough people. And, when it’s this close, the movie matters.

Nicole Kidman, “Babygirl”
A potential consensus critics group’s pick (maybe). Box office won’t hurt!

Demi Moore, “The Substance”
The industry and critical sentiment for the performance is there. We’re not sure enough of her peers can get through watching the film, however. The anecdotes we’ve heard are slightly heartbreaking for fans. Even in a weak year, a snub might be inevitable.

Cynthia Erivo, “Wicked”
She needs to recharge her engine after a long global press tour for an old-fashioned “work the room” campaign that needs to start effective immediately. The bigger the box office, the better her shot.

Saoirse Ronan, “The Outrun”
SPC has two other contenders in Torres and Tilda Swinton. They can only do so much. Ronan is deservedly beloved amongst her peers, however. That might be enough.

Tilda Swinton, “The Room Next Door”
She’s great, but her co-star is better. Again, one of three SPC players vying for a slot.

Amy Adams, “Nightbitch”
The performance is respected. Like Jolie, the movie not being as well received is an issue.

Zoe Saldana, “Emilia Perez”
Acting Branch members keep telling yourself, “She’s supporting.”

Kirsten Dunst, “Civil War”
In another timeline, this is a lock. Ah, well.

Fernanda Torres, “I’m Still Here”
A very strong performance, but will enough of the acting branch watch the movie? Will it make their year-end holiday break screening lists? Are there enough actors on the International Film viewing committees to make up the difference?